Author(s): Michael Beckley
Politics | No Category
The United States has been the world's dominant power for more than a century. Now many analysts believe that other countries are rising and the United States is in decline. Is the unipolar moment over? Is America finished as a superpower?
In this book, Michael Beckley argues that the United States has unique advantages over other nations that, if used wisely, will allow it to remain the world's sole superpower throughout this century. We are not living in a transitional, post-Cold War era. Instead, we are in the midst of what he calls the unipolar era--a period as singular and important as any epoch in modern history. This era, Beckley contends, will endure because the US has a much larger economic and military lead over its closest rival, China, than most people think and the best prospects of any nation to amass wealth and power in the decades ahead.
Deeply researched and brilliantly argued, this book covers hundreds of years of great power politics and develops new methods for measuring power and predicting the rise and fall of nations. By documenting long-term trends in the global balance of power and explaining their implications for world politics, the book provides guidance for policymakers, businesspeople, and scholars alike.
-- "The New York Times"
“Beckley’s book debunks that theory and argues that America will retain its supremacy for years to come. He does it by interesting means, arguing not for the inevitability of US supremacy, but by picking away at the challengers. Chinese growth, he writes, “has been spectacular, miraculous, yet the veneer of double digit growth has masked gaping liabilities”.
High growth has come at too high a cost for China to really topple the US Beckley argues that indices exaggerate the wealth and power of China and India in the same way they once overvalued Moscow. He says analysts are too preoccupied with one side of a country’s balance sheet, when scales, such as the ease of doing business metric, which places the US as the seventh easiest country to trade in and with, and finds China to be 84th in that list, tell you far more about a country’s relative health than gross measures, such as GDP.
So America will beat on unrivalled, a world power without equal. There is one note of caution though. The US should be careful not to get drawn into “stupid wars”. It is exactly that kind of conflict that can unpick security and stability. The US administration has been warned.”
Nick March – The National (JC BookGrocer)